## ES 10 - The Earth HW 5 - Earthquakes Due 07 March 1997

You will probably want to read the sections of Chapter 18 of Understanding Earth called ``Seismic Waves'' and ``Locating the Epicenter'' before you do Question 2. In particular, you should find that Figures 18.10 and 18.11 help you a bit. Section 5 of the lecture notes from Lecture 20 should also be helpful.

If you have problems with or questions about the homework, please come see me at the discussion section or send me an e-mail. My e-mail address is ganderson@ucsd.edu, and the discussion section is held Wednesday evenings from 5:30-6:30 in Warren Lecture Hall 2113.

Question 1: Worldwide Earthquake Rates (20 points)

One of the most common questions seismologists are asked is: ``I've heard that earthquakes are happening more often these days than they used to. Is that true?'' In this problem, you are going to try to answer that question for yourselves.

Below, I have made a table showing the number of earthquakes with magnitudes of 7.0 or greater which occurred in each year between 1900 and 1996. These numbers come from the United States Geological Survey's National Earthquake Information Center in Golden, Colorado.

Table 1:   Number of Earthquakes Magnitude 7.0 or Greater

Here's what I want you to do:

1. Make a graph of the numbers in Table  1. You should put the year along the X-axis and the number of earthquakes along the Y-axis.
2. Based on your graph, decide for yourself if the number of large earthquakes worldwide per year is increasing, decreasing, or staying relatively constant over time.
3. Turn in your graph and your answer to the question ``Is the rate of large earthquakes worldwide on the increase?''
You have complete freedom when it comes to making your graph -- you may make it a bar graph, or a ``connect-the-dots'' line graph, or a fancy three-dimensional ribbon graph. As long as the graph is neat so that I can read it, and has clearly indicated labels for the X and Y axes, that's fine.

One thing: if you make the graph by hand, don't label every year along the X-axis. Instead, make a tick mark every fifth or tenth year, and just label those (of course, you still need to plot the numbers for the other years) -- it will make your graph much easier to read.

Question 2: Where is that dang quake? (30 points)

In this problem, you get to locate an earthquake here in southern California. Normally, seismologists locate earthquakes with fancy math and fast computers, but we will return to the old days of seismology and locate an earthquake by hand.

Below, you will find a figure with wiggles made by an earthquake here in southern California on Sunday, 23 February. These are four seismograms made by four different seismometers in locations around southern California. The locations of the stations which made the recordings are shown on the map I've given you, with the three character codes (such as BKR) shown both at the right spot on the map and in front of the corresponding seismogram.

Look at the record from station PFO. You will see that there are two distinct points in the seismogram where the size of the wiggles (what seismologists call the amplitude) goes up compared to the wiggles around them. The first jump is the arrival of the P wave, which is the fastest-propagating seismic wave. The second jump is the arrival of the S wave. By measuring the times at which these two jumps occur (called the arrival times), and then taking the difference of these two times (called the S-P time), you can use Table 2 to figure out how far the earthquake is from the station. The procedure of finding the arrival times for the P and S waves is called ``picking''.

Table 2:   Distance to Earthquake Using S-P Times

After you know the distance, on your map of Southern California you draw a circle of the correct radius centered at PFO, and you know the earthquake has to lie somewhere on that circle. After you repeat the above procedure for the other three stations, you will have four different circles, which will overlap one another. There should be a small region where the circles all overlap, and you know the earthquake must be somewhere inside that small region. Ideally, there would actually be only a single point, but small errors in measurements and in Table 2 will cause the circles to overlap rather than just touch in a single spot.

Here's what I want you to do:

1. Pick your arrivals for the P and S waves at each of the four stations. Indicate your chosen times by drawing an arrow toward the jump on the record, and labeling it ``P'' or ``S'', depending on what type of wave it is.
2. Using a ruler, and the time scale shown at the bottom of the ``wiggles'' figure, calculate the arrival times for the P waves and S waves at each station.
3. From those arrival times, calculate the S-P time.
4. Use Table 2 to convert the S-P time to the equivalent distance from the station. You will almost certainly not find an entry in the table which corresponds exactly to your measured S-P times, but you can use the table to make a good guess of the correct distance for your measured times.
5. After you have worked out what the correct distances are, use a drawing compass to draw circles on the map I've given you. Make sure your circles have the correct radius from each station. To do this correctly, you need to know that the scale bar shown in the lower right corner of the map represents 50 kilometers in the real world. If you don't know how to use this map scale information to draw the circles correctly, come see me.
6. Once you have drawn all four circles at the right radius, you will see that they overlap in a small region. Shade that region in (lightly), so that I can see it.
7. Make a small table showing the arrival times of the P and S waves, the S-P time, and the distance to the earthquake from each of the four stations. Look at Table 1 in the notes for Lecture 20 for an example you might follow.
8. Be sure to show your work if you want to get full credit. If you don't show your work, you won't get full credit -- and if you do something wrong, I won't be able to give you partial credit if I can't see how you tried it.
Turn in your annotated ``wiggles'' figure, your map with the circles and shading on it, your short table of times and distances for each station, and a neat summary of the math and figuring you did to answer this question.

This is a challenging problem. If you have questions on it or get stuck, come see me. I can't help you get unstuck if you don't ask me for help.

Here is your map of southern California with the stations indicated.

Greg Anderson
ganderson@ucsd.edu
Sun Mar 2 15:26:02 PST 1997